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Daily

Empty cribs in Italy: a new negative birth rate record.

Istat: The birth rate will drop drastically in 2025 compared to 2024: from 355.000 to 370.000 in the previous year.

In 2024, Italy celebrated the birth of 370.000 children. In 2025, that number plummeted to 355.000 — a drop of 3,9%.
In 2024, Italy celebrated the birth of 370.000 children. In 2025, that number plummeted to 355.000 — a drop of 3,9%.

Italy recorded a new record low for births in 2025. According to data released by Istat (National Institute of Statistics), the country had 355.000 births last year.

The number represents a 3,9% drop compared to 2024, when 370.000 babies were registered. The result was below the institute's most pessimistic forecast, which projected 361.000 births.

For demographer Alessandro Rosina, from Catholic University of MilanThe situation is worrying. "We have never sunk to such a low level," says the expert about the unprecedented situation.

The structure of Italian families is also undergoing transformations. Currently, the country has 26,6 million family units, but 37,1% of them consist of only one person.

Istat highlights that the stability of the resident population, fixed at 58,9 million, is due to migration. The agency states that Italy remains a country where a very positive migratory dynamic manages to offset a largely negative natural turnover.

Population aging puts Italy in the position of oldest country in the European UnionLife expectancy is 81,7 years for men and 85,7 years for women.

Experts warn that the lack of new generations threatens the sustainability of the pension system. Government incentive policies, such as bonuses for mothers, have not been effective in the last period.

Rosina points out that recovery is possible with real investments in parental leave and support for young people. She emphasizes that the current trend "is not an inevitable fate; we are the ones making it so."

The demographer believes that if births were to exceed 450.000 again, the country could have a sustainable future. Otherwise, the demographic structure will be unsustainable by 2050.

The question that remains for Meloni government in April 2026 it is: Who will foot the bill for an Italy that refuses to be born?

The power of immigration

The role of immigration emerges as a positive point in this scenario, regardless of nationalist and xenophobic propaganda. As of January 1, 2026, the resident population of Italy totaled 58.943.000 individuals.

The number remains stable compared to 2024 due to migration flows. According to Istat, "Italy remains a country where a very positive migration dynamic manages to offset a largely negative natural turnover."

Currently, foreign citizens in Italy that totals 5.500.000 people. The increase was 188.000 compared to the previous year, representing 9,4% of the country's total population.

A snapshot of Italy in 2026

Indicator
Given (2026)
Tendency
Births (2025)
355.000
Negative record
Families of 1 person
37,1%
All-time high
Children per woman
1,14
Which gives
Foreign population
9,4%
Stabilizer
Life expectancy (F)
85,7 years
High

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Lincoln EL De Oliveira

    April 1 from 2026 at 11: 33

    Relax... Islam will repopulate quickly...

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