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Referendum 2026

Supreme Court Effect? ​​Why did the "Yes" vote prevail in Brazil while Italy blocked Meloni's reform?

71,5% versus 46%: The phenomenon that explains why Italians in Brazil saved Meloni while Italians punished her.

Referendum in Italy exposes contrast: "yes" dominates in South America and "no" wins in Italy.
Referendum in Italy exposes contrast: "yes" dominates in South America and "no" wins in Italy.

the map of judicial referendum of 2026 This paints a picture of an unprecedented geographical and ideological divide. In Italy, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni suffered her worst defeat. In South America, she achieved a landslide victory. How can we explain that countries like... Venezuela (87,3%), Ecuador (81,8%) e Brazil (71,5%) Have they embraced a reform that the Italians themselves rejected?

The answer lies not in Rome, but in the feeling of "crisis of confidence in the judiciary" that dominates South America.

Source: elezioni.interno.gov.it

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The Judiciary as a "caste"

According to the experts interviewed by ItalianismThe Italian vote in Brazil was a mirror vote. As the sociologist points out... Daniel TaddoneThere is a clear confirmation bias: voters identify the Judiciary as a "caste" and project onto the Italian reform the desire to "control" judges, a direct reflection of the political clash between the right and the Judiciary in Brazil (STF).

“Brazilians identify the ‘Yes’ vote as something from the right and voted to regulate judges, transferring the interpretation of the Brazilian case to the Italian one,” analyzes Taddone.

According to him, there is an effect of interpretation based on local reality. "People with little contact with the subject see that something will regulate the judges and they already make that transition from interpreting the Brazilian case to the Italian one."

He also mentions the role of influencers. "The person knows nothing about Italian politics, but identifies 'Yes' as something from the right, so they go there and campaign for 'Yes'."

Fragile democracies and the desire for change.

the numbers of Venezuela (87,3%) e Ecuador (81,8%) These are the most symptomatic examples. In countries where the perception of justice is marked by reticence and instability, any proposal for "reform" is seen as a breath of fresh air against the current situation. status quo.

The lawyer Christian Girardello He emphasizes that "ideological voting" in South America is fueled by a discourse of rupture. Furthermore, he raises a crucial technical issue: the lack of transparency in the postal voting system.

“We have an electoral system with little transparency and questionable effectiveness. Unfortunately, votes cast abroad can be easily manipulated by patronages and associations,” he said.

Another factor mentioned is the age profile. "In Italy, the 'no' vote was the majority among the younger and older age groups, and our participatory electorate is made up precisely of people in the age group that voted mostly for 'yes'," Girardello added.

The "slap in the face"

The businessman Marcelo Fragali, former owner of RedeTV! and candidate for the Italian Senate, attributes a significant political component to the result. According to him, the vote in favor of "Yes" expressed the position of the Italian-Brazilian community regarding the current scenario.

According to Carvalho, even in the face of dissatisfaction with restrictions on citizenship, such as those foreseen in the so-called Tajani DecreeThe electorate demonstrated ideological alignment.

“We knew how to vote for what is right. It was a slap in the face to the Italian government. If we were treated with respect, we would be Italy's greatest allies in the world,” Carvalho stated in a video posted on his social media.

4 Comments

1 Comment

  1. joao gualberto pinheiro junior

    March 25, 2026 at 02:04 pm

    This clarification from the Italian-Brazilian community is timely, relevant, and important in the context of the election. We need competent and effective representatives.

  2. Italus San Martino di Venezze

    March 30, 2026 at 22:52 pm

    Native Italians should demand the annulment of the recognition of dual Italian citizenship for the 71,5% of Italian descendants. It is regrettable that 71,5% of Brazilian Italian descendants support this exclusionary and discriminatory regime, which establishes unfair, prejudiced distinctions or unequal treatment between people and groups. Fortunately, the majority of native Italians do not accept this regime of the political representatives: Giorgia Meloni, Antonio Tajani, and Matteo Salvini. "Hugs" to Meloni, only from the 71,5% who support the Meloni, Tajani, and Salvini regime. The rest of the Italian descendants and native Italians have the wisdom and intelligence to vote against this regime. The next referendums will be to demand the resignation of Antonio Tajani and Matteo Salvini. I wish "Ciao Ciao Meloni…"

  3. Italus San Martino di Venezze

    March 30, 2026 at 22:56 pm

    It is regrettable that 71,5% of Italian descendants of Brazilians support this exclusionary and discriminatory regime, which establishes unfair, prejudiced distinctions or unequal treatment between people and groups. Fortunately, the majority of native Italians do not accept this regime of political representatives, such as Giorgia Meloni, Antonio Tajani, Matteo Salvini, and other supporting politicians. Proof of the poor political management of this government is that in recent years, thousands of native Italians and/or their children have migrated to other countries seeking better living conditions. Supporting this authoritarian and dictatorial regime of politicians like Giorgia Meloni, Antonio Tajani, and Matteo Salvini, among other supporting politicians, is to harm the rest of the nation of Italian descendants who are seeking dual Italian citizenship. "Pure selfishness." Hugs to Meloni, only from the 71,5% who support the Meloni, Tajani, and Salvini regime. The remaining Italian descendants and NATIVE Italians have the wisdom and intelligence to vote against this regime. The next referendums will be to demand the resignation of Antonio Tajani and Matteo Salvini. I wish them “Ciao Ciao Meloni…”

  4. Italus San Martino di Venezze

    March 30, 2026 at 22:59 pm

    Greetings to Meloni, only from the 71,5% who support the Meloni, Tajani, and Salvini regime. The remaining Italian descendants and NATIVE Italians have the wisdom and intelligence to vote against this regime. The next referendums will be to demand the resignation of Antonio Tajani and Matteo Salvini. I wish them “Ciao Ciao Meloni…”

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